RPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPT - Rithm Property Trust Inc.
$13.39
-0.05 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
+0.53%
30d:
-7.97%
90d:
+399.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RPT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RPT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.38
27.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPT is currently trading at $13.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.48 to $14.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.88, while resistance sits at $14.06.
Market Sentiment: RPT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+64.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.88, while resistance sits at $14.06.
Market Sentiment: RPT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+64.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.48 -
$14.57
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.3% below Wall St target ($22.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.48 -
$14.57
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.88
Resistance Level
$14.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.80
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+64.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
108.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.1%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.85
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$12.34
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$11.85
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$13.45
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 82.8%)
$68.27
(+410%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 82.8%)
$45.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 82.8%)
$38.41
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.20
(+13.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 1:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
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