RRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRX - Regal Rexnord Corporation

GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT, NEC
$207.38
1.66 (0.81%) ▲
5d: +0.54%
30d: +7.22%
90d: -2.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

RRX is down 11.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $270 2026-06-18 with 66 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$386.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$240.21
13.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRX is currently trading at $207.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.78 to $217.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $201.00, while resistance sits at $236.34.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.44 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $196.78 - $217.76
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($250.44)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $196.78 - $217.76
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $201.00
Resistance Level $236.35
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.45
Wall Street Target $250.44 (+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 11.6%
Profit Margin 4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 14.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $210.49 (+2%)
2-Year Target $213.65 (+3%)
3-Year Target $216.85 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) PE COMPRESSION $207.74 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 26.4%) $597.28 (+188%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 26.4%) $418.68 (+102%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 26.4%) $355.87 (+72%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.30
Bull Case $460.46 (+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.5
Base Case $418.60 (+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.7
Bear Case $142.32 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Rehard SELL 968 shares 2026-02-25
Robert Rehard SELL 1289 shares 2026-02-24
Cheryl Lewis SELL 2262 shares 2026-02-09

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Advanced RRX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RRX price and gamma walls.

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