RUSHA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RUSHA - Rush Enterprises Inc

RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
$64.97
-1.11 (-1.68%) ▼
5d: -0.93%
30d: -8.45%
90d: +16.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RUSHA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.49
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.13
22.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RUSHA is currently trading at $64.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.28 to $71.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RUSHA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.47, while resistance sits at $67.83.

Market Sentiment: RUSHA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.67 (+21.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $63.28 - $71.61
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 29th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 92.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($78.67)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $63.28 - $71.61
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.02 (4.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $61.47
Resistance Level $67.83
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.32
Wall Street Target $78.67 (+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.0%
Profit Margin 3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 15.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $63.28 (-3%)
2-Year Target $61.64 (-5%)
3-Year Target $60.03 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→16) $64.96 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.5%) $195.84 (+201%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 24.5%) $125.51 (+93%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 24.5%) $106.68 (+64%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.27
Bull Case $96.14 (+47%)
Analyst growth 38.7%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case $87.40 (+33%)
Market implied 38.7%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $42.85 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 15.5
Stabilization Target: $70.31 (+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.2%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Raymond Joseph Chess SELL 10000 shares 2026-03-10
Jody Pollard SELL 11250 shares 2026-02-19
Michael L Goldstone SELL 4500 shares 2026-02-19

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