RVLV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RVLV - Revolve Group, Inc.
$18.61
0.10 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
-10.79%
30d:
-29.75%
90d:
-25.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
RVLV is down 21.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 132 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RVLV is down 10.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RVLV is down 10.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.86
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.86
33.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RVLV is currently trading at $18.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.04 to $26.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RVLV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.35, while resistance sits at $24.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+58.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RVLV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.35, while resistance sits at $24.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+58.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.04 -
$26.95
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RVLV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.5% below Wall St target ($29.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.04 -
$26.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.35
Resistance Level
$24.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.09
Wall Street Target
$29.50
(+58.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 26.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→26)
$20.72
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 17.2%)
$38.65
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 17.2%)
$29.93
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 17.2%)
$25.44
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.90
Bull Case
$24.64
(+32%)
Analyst growth 21.0%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$22.40
(+20%)
Market implied 21.0%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$12.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$28.43
(+52.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RVLV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Mente
SELL
15972 shares
2026-04-09
Michael Karanikolas
SELL
1948 shares
2026-02-12
Michael Mente
SELL
15645 shares
2026-02-11
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RVLV price and gamma walls.
