SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$12.00
-0.04 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
-9.98%
30d:
-11.76%
90d:
-20.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAMG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAMG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.56
31.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $12.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.72 to $13.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAMG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+66.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAMG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+66.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.72 -
$13.70
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.7% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.72 -
$13.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.80
Resistance Level
$13.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.91
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+66.7%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.28
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.60
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.97
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$12.06
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 25.0%)
$47.42
(+295%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 25.0%)
$23.44
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 25.0%)
$19.92
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$26.49
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.1
Base Case
$24.08
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case
$8.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$14.52
(+21.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Allen Gray
BUY
1285 shares
2025-12-01
John Allen Gray
BUY
5500 shares
2025-11-28
John Allen Gray
BUY
15000 shares
2025-11-26
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