SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$10.53
0.16 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
+2.03%
30d:
-9.07%
90d:
-21.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAMG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAMG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.04
25.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $10.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.42 to $11.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+89.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+89.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.42 -
$11.34
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 89.9% below Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.42 -
$11.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.68
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.70
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+89.9%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.18
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.85
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$9.52
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$10.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 87.5%)
$66.16
(+528%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 87.5%)
$35.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 87.5%)
$30.21
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$22.81
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$20.74
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$7.05
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.61
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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