SANM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SANM - Sanmina Corp
$235.34
-6.70 (-2.77%)
▼
5d:
-5.24%
30d:
+39.28%
90d:
+61.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SANM is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $260 2026-06-18 with 628 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SANM trades at premium valuation expecting 7.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SANM trades at premium valuation expecting 7.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$311.33
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$193.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SANM is currently trading at $235.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $155.47 to $231.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SANM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $209.50, while resistance sits at $255.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SANM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $209.50, while resistance sits at $255.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$155.47 -
$231.65
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SANM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($212.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.0% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$155.47 -
$231.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$22.57
(9.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$209.50
Resistance Level
$255.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.07
Wall Street Target
$212.25
(-9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
102.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 14.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$251.81
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$269.44
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$288.30
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$236.13
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.3%)
$452.50
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 16.3%)
$370.49
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$303.45
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.70
Bull Case
$284.17
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$235.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$180.04
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SANM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David V Hedley III
SELL
1024 shares
2026-02-24
Jonathan P Faust
SELL
10075 shares
2026-02-24
Alan Mcwilliams Reid
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-13
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Advanced SANM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SANM price and gamma walls.
