SANM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SANM - Sanmina Corp
$219.77
-26.62 (-10.80%)
▼
5d:
-13.33%
30d:
-21.05%
90d:
+68.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SANM is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SANM is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$330.26
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$205.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SANM is currently trading at $219.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $235.96 to $265.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SANM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $216.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SANM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $216.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$235.96 -
$265.84
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SANM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($223.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$235.96 -
$265.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$216.67
Resistance Level
$260.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.87
Wall Street Target
$223.75
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
102.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$224.82
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$230.00
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$235.29
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$218.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$446.56
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 16.3%)
$345.98
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 16.3%)
$294.08
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $11.08
Bull Case
$265.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$219.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$168.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SANM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David V Hedley III
SELL
1024 shares
2026-02-24
Jonathan P Faust
SELL
10075 shares
2026-02-24
Alan Mcwilliams Reid
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-13
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