SD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SD - SandRidge Energy, Inc.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$15.27
0.20 (1.33%) ▲
5d: +5.89%
30d: +2.0%
90d: -9.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

SD is down 4.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-07-17 with 2,361 OI. Call ratio: 99% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.80
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.57
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SD is currently trading at $15.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.75 to $15.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.37, while resistance sits at $15.90.

Market Sentiment: SD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $14.75 - $15.54
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.75 - $15.54
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.72 (4.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.37
Resistance Level $15.90
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.39
Wall Street Target $15.00 (-1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 42.9%
Profit Margin 46.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 9.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.62 (+2%)
2-Year Target $15.98 (+5%)
3-Year Target $16.35 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $15.27 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: -5.2%) $27.67 (+81%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -5.2%) $13.03 (-15%)
Bear: (PE: 8.8, Growth: -5.2%) $11.07 (-28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case $11.89 (-22%)
Analyst growth -28.3%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case $10.81 (-29%)
Market implied -28.3%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case $10.25 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SD price and gamma walls.

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