SDA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDA - SunCar Technology Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
$1.98
-0.02 (-1.00%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SDA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SDA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.81
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.75
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDA is currently trading at $1.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.01 to $2.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.17 (+262.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.17 (+262.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$2.01 -
$2.11
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 262.0% below Wall St target ($7.17)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.01 -
$2.11
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.95
Resistance Level
$2.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.20
Wall Street Target
$7.17
(+262.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
-2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.97
(0%)
2-Year Target
$1.97
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$1.96
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$1.99
(+1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$2.01
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
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