SEMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SEMR - SEMrush Holdings, Inc.
$12.00
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+0.59%
90d:
+0.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SEMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SEMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.79
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SEMR is currently trading at $12.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.95 to $11.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SEMR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SEMR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.95 -
$11.99
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
SEMR is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.95 -
$11.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.21
(1.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.94
Resistance Level
$12.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.97
Wall Street Target
$12.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
-4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 26.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.50
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.01
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.55
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$11.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 28.7%)
$25.58
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 28.7%)
$22.95
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 28.7%)
$19.51
(+63%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$13.64
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SEMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eugenie Levin
SELL
404249 shares
2026-03-13
Oleg Shchegolev
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-09
Dmitry Melnikov
SELL
1399 shares
2026-01-07
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Advanced SEMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SEMR price and gamma walls.
