SFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SFD - Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock
$24.58
0.21 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
-4.73%
90d:
-14.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Get Alerted When SFD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SFD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SFD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.80
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SFD is currently trading at $24.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.80 to $26.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SFD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.58 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SFD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.58 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.80 -
$26.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($31.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.80 -
$26.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.54
Resistance Level
$27.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.61
Wall Street Target
$31.58
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.24
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$23.90
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.56
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$24.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.6%)
$49.88
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -3.6%)
$22.00
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -3.6%)
$18.70
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$26.69
(+9%)
Analyst growth -0.4%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$24.26
(-1%)
Market implied -0.4%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$16.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$25.59
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$82 | 56 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$14 | 56 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$75 | 58 HOLD |
|
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$13 | 62 BUY |
|
GIS
General Mills Inc |
SELL
23 analysts |
$37 | 64 BUY |
