SGHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited
$13.14
-0.10 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
+0.46%
30d:
+19.78%
90d:
+46.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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1 traders called SGHC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SGHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SGHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.93
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $13.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.13 to $13.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.44, while resistance sits at $14.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+37.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.44, while resistance sits at $14.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+37.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.13 -
$13.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SGHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.0% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.13 -
$13.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.44
Resistance Level
$14.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.69
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+37.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.25
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.35
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$13.46
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$29.76
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 14.7%)
$19.81
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$16.84
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$26.99
(+105%)
Analyst growth 86.3%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$24.53
(+87%)
Market implied 86.3%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$8.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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