SHAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHAK - Shake Shack Inc.
$88.57
0.54 (0.61%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHAK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHAK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.90
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHAK is currently trading at $88.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.75 to $96.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 65.1) compared to its historical average (58.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.91 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.91 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$83.75 -
$96.35
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($110.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$83.75 -
$96.35
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.54
Resistance Level
$102.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
65.14
Wall Street Target
$110.91
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
65.1 vs 58.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.55
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$95.21
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$99.02
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 65→58)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 65.1, Growth: 4.8%)
$101.28
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.8%)
$34.67
(-61%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 4.8%)
$29.47
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 59.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.50
Bull Case
$106.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 62.1
Base Case
$88.57
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 59.2
Bear Case
$67.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 53.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SHAK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SHAK price and gamma walls.
