SHIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SHIM - Shimmick Corporation Common Stock

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$3.92
0.06 (1.55%) ▲
5d: +17.72%
30d: -0.25%
90d: +34.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 34.1% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.49
65.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SHIM is currently trading at $3.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.07 to $3.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (36.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 34.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SHIM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.80, while resistance sits at $4.07.

Market Sentiment: SHIM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+40.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $3.07 - $3.74
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 40.3% below Wall St target ($5.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.07 - $3.74
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.80
Resistance Level $4.07
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.32
Wall Street Target $5.50 (+40.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.0%
Profit Margin -5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -34.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.3 vs 36.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -34.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.53 (-10%)
2-Year Target $3.18 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.86 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→36) $10.00 (+155%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 533.3%) $26.38 (+573%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 533.3%) $13.23 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 8.8, Growth: 533.3%) $11.25 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 36.1
Stabilization Target: $13.72 (+249.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +249.9%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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