PRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation
$115.52
2.58 (2.28%)
▲
5d:
+6.98%
30d:
-28.92%
90d:
-29.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
PRIM is down 44.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $135 2026-06-18 with 1,855 OI. Call ratio: 83% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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3 traders called PRIM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRIM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRIM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.66
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.71
29.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $115.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.99 to $180.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $98.09, while resistance sits at $205.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.36 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $98.09, while resistance sits at $205.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.36 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$126.99 -
$180.99
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($145.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.99 -
$180.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.09
Resistance Level
$205.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.46
Wall Street Target
$145.36
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 23.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.17
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$103.16
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$97.49
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$115.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 24.4%)
$251.73
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 24.4%)
$222.30
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 24.4%)
$188.95
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$162.77
(+41%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$147.98
(+28%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$76.80
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 23.1
Stabilization Target:
$137.11
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Terry D Mccallister
BUY
10 shares
2026-04-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-18
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