SITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SITM - SiTime Corporation Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$774.06
-46.15 (-5.63%) ▼
5d: -7.08%
30d: +64.5%
90d: +84.2%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your SITM Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

SITM is up 15.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $400 2026-06-18 with 8 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SITM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$519.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$322.30
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SITM is currently trading at $774.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $421.72 to $730.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 76.9) is in line with its historical norms (71.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $555.07, while resistance sits at $901.81. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: SITM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $421.72 - $730.71
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 1th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($827.78)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 88.3% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $421.72 - $730.71
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$85.52 (11.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $555.07
Resistance Level $901.81
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 76.93
Wall Street Target $827.78 (+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -60.6%
Profit Margin -6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 76.9 vs 71.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $839.07 (+2%)
2-Year Target $858.37 (+5%)
3-Year Target $878.12 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 77→72) PE COMPRESSION $819.58 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 76.9, Growth: 35.8%) $2054.23 (+151%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 35.8%) $588.54 (-28%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 35.8%) $500.26 (-39%)
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush B Sevalia SELL 2419 shares 2026-04-17
Piyush B Sevalia SELL 1247 shares 2026-04-10
Piyush B Sevalia SELL 1249 shares 2026-03-25

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Advanced SITM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SITM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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