SKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SKT - Tanger Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$32.72
-0.19 (-0.58%) ▼
5d: +0.52%
30d: -3.93%
90d: -0.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.53
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.65
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SKT is currently trading at $32.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.87 to $34.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.2) is in line with its historical norms (30.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SKT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.82 (+12.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $32.87 - $34.10
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.82)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.87 - $34.10
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.97
Resistance Level $33.70
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.22
Wall Street Target $36.82 (+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 27.3%
Profit Margin 18.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.2 vs 30.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.29 (-1%)
2-Year Target $31.87 (-3%)
3-Year Target $31.46 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→30) $32.73 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.2, Growth: 15.6%) $50.54 (+55%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.6%) $38.58 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.6%) $32.79 (+0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case $42.34 (+29%)
Analyst growth 19.1%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case $38.49 (+18%)
Market implied 19.1%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case $21.97 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.2 to 30.4
Stabilization Target: $34.04 (+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.0%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 4:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gallardo Leslie Swanson SELL 17500 shares 2025-09-05

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