SPB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPB - Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.
$77.12
-2.95 (-3.68%)
▼
5d:
-5.35%
30d:
-4.75%
90d:
+1.28%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.80
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPB is currently trading at $77.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.54 to $83.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$78.54 -
$83.60
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($87.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.54 -
$83.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.74
Resistance Level
$86.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.64
Wall Street Target
$87.43
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2634.3%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.34
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$82.64
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$83.96
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$80.28
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 3.4%)
$133.18
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 3.4%)
$88.48
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 3.4%)
$75.21
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.12
Bull Case
$94.39
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.8%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$85.81
(+7%)
Market implied 6.8%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$54.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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