SPNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPNT - SiriusPoint Ltd.
$22.96
0.29 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
+1.23%
90d:
+11.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SPNT is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-07-17 with 60 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.47
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPNT is currently trading at $22.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.76 to $23.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.76, while resistance sits at $24.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.76, while resistance sits at $24.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$22.76 -
$23.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.76 -
$23.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.76
Resistance Level
$24.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.30
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
67.3%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.03
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$23.10
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.17
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$77.34
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 8.2%)
$29.10
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$24.73
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.97
Bull Case
$17.37
(-24%)
Analyst growth -30.4%, PE expands to 6.3
Base Case
$15.79
(-31%)
Market implied -30.4%, PE stable at 5.7
Bear Case
$15.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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