ST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$45.34
-1.21 (-2.60%)
▼
5d:
-7.81%
30d:
-14.66%
90d:
+28.88%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.13
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $45.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.63 to $51.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $44.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.08 (+12.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $44.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.08 (+12.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.63 -
$51.57
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.63 -
$51.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.36
Resistance Level
$51.72
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.20
Wall Street Target
$51.08
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.93
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$48.57
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$50.27
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$114.61
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$58.92
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$50.08
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.80 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.54
Bull Case
$54.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$45.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$34.69
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2913 shares
2026-04-07
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2480 shares
2026-03-18
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SELL
2496 shares
2026-02-12
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