STAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAG - STAG INDUSTRIAL, INC.
$39.16
0.82 (2.14%)
▲
5d:
+0.18%
30d:
+7.17%
90d:
+8.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.81
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAG is currently trading at $39.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.27 to $38.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.4) is in line with its historical norms (34.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STAG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STAG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.27 -
$38.92
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.55)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 9.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.27 -
$38.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.28
Resistance Level
$38.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.42
Wall Street Target
$41.55
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
28.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
34.4 vs 34.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.28
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$39.40
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$39.51
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.4, Growth: 1.8%)
$41.30
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.8%)
$26.13
(-33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 1.8%)
$22.21
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$37.19
(-5%)
Analyst growth -11.8%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$33.81
(-14%)
Market implied -11.8%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case
$26.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matts Pinard
SELL
25242 shares
2026-02-23
William R Crooker
SELL
93732 shares
2026-02-23
Virgis Colbert
SELL
18000 shares
2026-02-19
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