STM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STM - STMicroelectronics N.V.
$68.35
-2.37 (-3.35%)
▼
5d:
-8.72%
30d:
-14.04%
90d:
+98.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.2/10
Get Alerted When STM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STM trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: STM trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.04
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $68.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.04 to $77.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.3) compared to its historical average (23.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.04 -
$77.62
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($63.76)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with 23.0% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.04 -
$77.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.78
Resistance Level
$81.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.32
Wall Street Target
$63.76
(-6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 23.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.90
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$75.64
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$79.58
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 54.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.26
Bull Case
$82.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.8
Base Case
$68.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 54.1
Bear Case
$52.29
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is STM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$524 | 54 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$299 | 58 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$243 | 51 HOLD |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$307 | 55 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$500 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced STM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STM price and gamma walls.
