STN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$99.08
-1.93 (-1.91%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: STN shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 27th percentile) and market pricing in only 1.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: STN shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 27th percentile) and market pricing in only 1.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.18
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.49
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $99.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.41 to $100.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$96.41 -
$100.28
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($94.28)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$96.41 -
$100.28
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.08
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.42
Resistance Level
$102.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.70
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(-6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$103.65
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$105.00
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.1%)
$205.62
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 15.1%)
$154.01
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 15.1%)
$130.91
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.12
Bull Case
$214.34
(+116%)
Analyst growth 93.8%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case
$194.85
(+97%)
Market implied 93.8%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$68.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced STN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STN price and gamma walls.
