STRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$80.98
1.79 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
+5.7%
30d:
+2.3%
90d:
-2.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STRA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STRA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.37
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.19
1.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $80.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.03 to $80.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$76.03 -
$80.16
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($87.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.03 -
$80.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.04
Resistance Level
$82.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.01
Wall Street Target
$87.00
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.47
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$76.04
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$73.68
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$81.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$251.75
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$115.66
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 12.6%)
$98.31
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.65
Bull Case
$124.78
(+54%)
Analyst growth 43.2%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$113.43
(+40%)
Market implied 43.2%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$53.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$89.03
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Thawley
BUY
665 shares
2026-04-24
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
2982 shares
2026-03-18
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
7598 shares
2026-03-13
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