STRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$79.03
0.29 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
-0.08%
30d:
-1.73%
90d:
+6.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STRA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STRA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.19
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.18
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $79.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.77 to $82.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.00 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.00 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.77 -
$82.66
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.77 -
$82.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.42
Resistance Level
$80.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.76
Wall Street Target
$87.00
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.08
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$71.32
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$67.76
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$79.10
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$254.76
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$112.87
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 12.6%)
$95.94
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.65
Bull Case
$124.07
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.2%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$112.79
(+43%)
Market implied 43.2%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$53.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$92.26
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Thawley
BUY
665 shares
2026-04-24
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
2982 shares
2026-03-18
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
7598 shares
2026-03-13
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