STRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRL - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. Common Stock
$386.64
-33.60 (-8.00%)
▼
5d:
-8.5%
30d:
-9.69%
90d:
+22.14%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
STRL is down 7.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $450 2026-04-17 with 39 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$602.37
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$374.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRL is currently trading at $386.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $403.98 to $439.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.1) is in line with its historical norms (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $395.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $495.40 (+17.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $395.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $495.40 (+17.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$403.98 -
$439.79
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($495.40)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$403.98 -
$439.79
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$39.67
(10.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$395.52
Resistance Level
$460.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.13
Wall Street Target
$495.40
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.6%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 29.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$410.57
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$401.13
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$391.91
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→29)
$420.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$632.21
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.6%)
$522.05
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.6%)
$443.74
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.40
Bull Case
$728.06
(+72%)
Analyst growth 64.8%, PE expands to 47.0
Base Case
$661.88
(+57%)
Market implied 64.8%, PE stable at 42.7
Bear Case
$273.10
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.1 to 29.1
Stabilization Target:
$450.81
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dana C O'brien
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-09
Dana C O'brien
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-06
Dwayne Andree Wilson
SELL
2860 shares
2026-01-16
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Advanced STRL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STRL price and gamma walls.
