STZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STZ - Constellation Brands, Inc.
$151.53
0.13 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
-0.61%
30d:
-4.01%
90d:
+8.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 08, 2026
8d
Get Alerted When STZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$188.04
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STZ is currently trading at $151.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.08 to $155.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.86 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.86 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$149.08 -
$155.97
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($171.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with -9.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$149.08 -
$155.97
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.18
Resistance Level
$155.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.24
Wall Street Target
$171.86
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.0%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$153.07
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$154.75
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$156.45
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$150.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.4%)
$334.21
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$182.61
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 6.4%)
$155.22
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.37
Bull Case
$319.48
(+110%)
Analyst growth 94.1%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$290.44
(+91%)
Market implied 94.1%, PE stable at 23.5
Bear Case
$101.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is STZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-12-19
Top Rated Beverages - Brewers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Brewers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Co … |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$48 | 60 HOLD |
|
BUD
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV … |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$90 | 52 HOLD |
|
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexica… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$117 | 53 HOLD |
|
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc |
SELL
16 analysts |
$237 | 58 HOLD |
|
ABEV
Ambev SA ADR |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$3 | 50 HOLD |
Advanced STZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STZ price and gamma walls.
