TAYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAYD - Taylor Devices Inc
$50.27
0.05 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-3.25%
30d:
-7.17%
90d:
-35.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAYD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.5% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAYD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.5% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.02
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.98
49.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAYD is currently trading at $50.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.84 to $56.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+33.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+33.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.84 -
$56.43
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($67.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.84 -
$56.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.07
Resistance Level
$55.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.04
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.20
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$40.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$36.61
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→22)
$62.87
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 23.0%)
$157.91
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 23.0%)
$93.46
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 23.0%)
$79.44
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$67.55
(+35%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$61.41
(+22%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$34.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$86.24
(+71.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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