TAYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAYD - Taylor Devices Inc
$57.05
-0.70 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-2.01%
30d:
+6.82%
90d:
-0.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TAYD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TAYD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.36
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.50
37.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAYD is currently trading at $57.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.57 to $57.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TAYD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TAYD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$52.57 -
$57.87
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.57 -
$57.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.94
Resistance Level
$55.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.82
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.34
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$46.21
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$41.59
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$57.54
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.0%)
$156.05
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 23.0%)
$106.17
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 23.0%)
$90.25
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$77.40
(+36%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$70.36
(+23%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$39.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$78.92
(+38.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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