TBLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$3.22
-0.01 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
+5.23%
30d:
+1.26%
90d:
-30.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
TBLA is down 6.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2.5 2026-04-17 with 162 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TBLA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.7% annual earnings decline despite 77% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TBLA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.7% annual earnings decline despite 77% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.84
Based on -28.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TBLA is currently trading at $3.22, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.04 to $3.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (26.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 77.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TBLA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.79 (+48.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TBLA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.79 (+48.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$3.04 -
$3.25
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.8% below Wall St target ($4.79)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.04 -
$3.25
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.97
Resistance Level
$3.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.64
Wall Street Target
$4.79
(+48.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
77.1%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 26.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.35
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→26)
$4.52
(+41%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -60.8%)
$3.54
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: -60.8%)
$2.35
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: -60.8%)
$2.00
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.13
Bull Case
$6.19
(+97%)
Analyst growth 81.5%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$5.63
(+79%)
Market implied 81.5%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$2.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 26.3
Stabilization Target:
$6.21
(+92.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+92.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 3:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TBLA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
6387648 shares
2025-11-10
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SELL
414816 shares
2025-11-06
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SELL
10045 shares
2025-11-05
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Advanced TBLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TBLA price and gamma walls.
