TBLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$4.00
-0.12 (-2.91%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
TBLA is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2.5 2026-04-17 with 213 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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1 traders called TBLA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TBLA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TBLA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TBLA is currently trading at $4.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.10 to $4.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.5) compared to its historical average (31.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.80 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.80 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$4.10 -
$4.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4.80)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.1% growth expectation is conservative given 813% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.10 -
$4.42
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.27
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.01
Resistance Level
$4.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.45
Wall Street Target
$4.80
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
813.1%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
37.5 vs 31.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.37
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$4.64
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$4.92
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.5, Growth: -75.6%)
$3.00
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -75.6%)
$1.79
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -75.6%)
$1.52
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.08
Bull Case
$6.20
(+55%)
Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 56.4
Base Case
$5.64
(+41%)
Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 51.3
Bear Case
$2.79
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TBLA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erez Shachar
SELL
27000 shares
2025-08-28
Eldad Maniv
SELL
2100 shares
2025-08-06
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Advanced TBLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TBLA price and gamma walls.
