TD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TD - Toronto Dominion Bank
$119.30
-2.95 (-2.41%)
▼
5d:
-0.99%
30d:
+5.28%
90d:
+25.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
Get Alerted When TD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.49
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TD is currently trading at $119.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.26 to $119.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$113.26 -
$119.82
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($111.61)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.9% growth with -31.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.26 -
$119.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.39
Resistance Level
$115.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.10
Wall Street Target
$111.61
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-31.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.2%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.95
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$128.79
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$133.81
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$320.21
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 11.0%)
$163.26
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$138.77
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.00
Bull Case
$240.78
(+102%)
Analyst growth 79.1%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$218.89
(+84%)
Market implied 79.1%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$83.13
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Diversified Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Diversified by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BAC
Bank of America Corp |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$64 | 50 HOLD |
|
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company |
BUY
24 analysts |
$96 | 63 BUY |
|
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co |
BUY
25 analysts |
$343 | 63 BUY |
|
C
Citigroup Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$148 | 59 HOLD |
|
RY
Royal Bank of Canada |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$191 | 60 BUY |
Advanced TD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TD price and gamma walls.
