TEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEN - Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.
$42.55
0.13 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
-2.85%
30d:
+9.95%
90d:
+50.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.67
Based on -24.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEN is currently trading at $42.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.76 to $42.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.76 -
$42.86
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 16.5% growth expectation is conservative given 320% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.76 -
$42.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.43
Resistance Level
$44.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.50
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
320.1%
Profit Margin
20.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 9.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.57
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$57.75
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$67.28
(+58%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -52.2%)
$47.22
(+11%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: -52.2%)
$31.02
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: -52.2%)
$19.68
(-54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.45
Bull Case
$30.78
(-28%)
Analyst growth -34.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$27.98
(-34%)
Market implied -34.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$28.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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