TEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEN - Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
$37.37
2.00 (5.65%) ▲
5d: -0.82%
30d: +0.08%
90d: -4.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEN trades at premium valuation expecting 8.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.34
Based on -16.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.04
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEN is currently trading at $37.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.30 to $39.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.13, while resistance sits at $41.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: TEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $36.30 - $39.40
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($46.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.3% growth expectation is conservative given 163% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $36.30 - $39.40
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.13
Resistance Level $41.72
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.73
Wall Street Target $46.00 (+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 162.8%
Profit Margin 24.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.3% premium
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 10.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $40.47 (+8%)
2-Year Target $43.83 (+17%)
3-Year Target $47.47 (+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→10) PE COMPRESSION $37.28 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -36.2%) $46.60 (+25%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: -36.2%) $27.24 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: -36.2%) $21.40 (-43%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.13
Bull Case $19.45 (-48%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case $17.69 (-53%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case $24.05 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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