THR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THR - THERMON GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.
$68.61
2.01 (3.02%)
▲
5d:
+5.04%
30d:
+27.15%
90d:
+34.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THR trades at premium valuation expecting 12.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: THR trades at premium valuation expecting 12.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.04
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THR is currently trading at $68.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.38 to $64.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.4) compared to its historical average (21.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.51, while resistance sits at $71.24. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: THR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.51, while resistance sits at $71.24. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: THR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.38 -
$64.45
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 25.7% above Wall St target ($51.00)
- BEARISH: Market expects 12.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.38 -
$64.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.51
Resistance Level
$71.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.36
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(-25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.0% premium
PE vs Historical
30.4 vs 21.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.84
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$86.06
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$96.39
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$82.89
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.5%)
$60.17
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 6.5%)
$51.15
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$93.54
(+36%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 41.4
Base Case
$85.04
(+24%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 37.6
Bear Case
$45.29
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is THR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-02
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