THRY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRY - Thryv Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$4.29
0.16 (3.87%)
▲
5d:
+15.95%
30d:
+10.0%
90d:
+55.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 30.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 30.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.29
Based on -27.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRY is currently trading at $4.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.61 to $4.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 30.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: THRY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: THRY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.61 -
$4.03
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.67)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 30.6% growth expectation is conservative given 107% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.61 -
$4.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.66
(15.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.55
Resistance Level
$4.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.45
Wall Street Target
$4.67
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.7%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+30.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 9.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+30.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.60
(+31%)
2-Year Target
$7.32
(+71%)
3-Year Target
$9.56
(+123%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -59.2%)
$3.18
(+-26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: -59.2%)
$3.13
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: -59.2%)
$1.40
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$2.75
(-36%)
Analyst growth -39.4%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$2.50
(-42%)
Market implied -39.4%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$2.81
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Lou Orfanos
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-18
John Slater
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-17
Joe Walsh
BUY
15000 shares
2026-03-13
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