THRY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRY - Thryv Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$3.41
0.12 (3.65%)
▲
5d:
-10.5%
30d:
+3.65%
90d:
-5.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
THRY is down 10.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2.5 2026-06-18 with 14 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: THRY is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: THRY is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.21
Based on -27.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRY is currently trading at $3.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.02 to $3.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 34.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.20, while resistance sits at $4.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.67 (+36.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.20, while resistance sits at $4.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.67 (+36.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.02 -
$3.71
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.9% below Wall St target ($4.67)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 34.7% growth expectation is conservative given 107% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.02 -
$3.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.20
Resistance Level
$4.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.05
Wall Street Target
$4.67
(+36.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.7%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+34.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 7.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+34.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.59
(+35%)
2-Year Target
$6.19
(+81%)
3-Year Target
$8.33
(+144%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -59.2%)
$3.22
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: -59.2%)
$2.49
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -59.2%)
$1.02
(-70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$2.19
(-36%)
Analyst growth -39.4%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$1.99
(-42%)
Market implied -39.4%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$2.24
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Lou Orfanos
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-18
John Slater
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-17
Joe Walsh
BUY
15000 shares
2026-03-13
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