TNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$83.03
0.50 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
-4.46%
30d:
+6.38%
90d:
+1.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.17
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $83.03, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.76 to $84.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $80.03, while resistance sits at $88.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.50 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $80.03, while resistance sits at $88.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.50 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$76.76 -
$84.44
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 2.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.76 -
$84.44
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.03
Resistance Level
$88.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.72
Wall Street Target
$91.50
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.11
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$87.23
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$89.41
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 27.7%)
$299.45
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 27.7%)
$172.76
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 27.7%)
$146.84
(+77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.68
Bull Case
$181.57
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.0
Base Case
$165.06
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.1
Bear Case
$56.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James T Jr. Glerum
BUY
8163 shares
2026-03-02
Donal L Mulligan
BUY
3000 shares
2026-02-27
Carol S Eicher
SELL
3130 shares
2026-02-26
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