TNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$87.48
1.41 (1.64%)
▲
5d:
-3.92%
30d:
+1.92%
90d:
+26.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.78
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $87.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.15 to $89.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.15 -
$89.01
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($93.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 2.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.15 -
$89.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.09
Resistance Level
$88.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.65
Wall Street Target
$93.50
(+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.98
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$94.62
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$98.40
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.3%)
$274.49
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 25.3%)
$171.99
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 25.3%)
$146.19
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.77
Bull Case
$105.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$87.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$66.92
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James T Jr. Glerum
BUY
8163 shares
2026-03-02
Donal L Mulligan
BUY
3000 shares
2026-02-27
Carol S Eicher
SELL
3130 shares
2026-02-26
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