TPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPC - Tutor Perini Corporation
$78.89
59.54 (307.70%)
ā²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: TPC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -29.1% annual earnings decline despite 2342% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
ā BUY SIGNAL: TPC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -29.1% annual earnings decline despite 2342% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.44
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.36
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPC is currently trading at $78.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.26 to $82.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.9) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2341.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $81.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 307.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.50 (+372.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $81.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 307.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.50 (+372.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$35.26 -
$82.91
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+307.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 372.9% below Wall St target ($91.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.26 -
$82.91
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.30
Resistance Level
$81.13
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.86
Wall Street Target
$91.50
(+372.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2341.5%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.9 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.42
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4ā11)
$39.80
(+106%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 22.3%)
$204.43
(+957%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.9, Growth: 22.3%)
$35.41
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 22.3%)
$30.10
(+56%)
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$54.60
(+182.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+182.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sidney J Feltenstein
SELL
124668 shares
2025-09-18
Ronald N Tutor
SELL
83144 shares
2025-09-18
Ronald N Tutor
SELL
116856 shares
2025-09-17
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Advanced TPC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPC price and gamma walls.
