TRIP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRIP - TripAdvisor, Inc.
$9.60
-0.03 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
-14.51%
30d:
-16.38%
90d:
-6.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
TRIP is down 14.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $11 2026-06-18 with 4,958 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TRIP is down 14.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TRIP is down 14.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.06
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.46
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRIP is currently trading at $9.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.34 to $11.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 59.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.11, while resistance sits at $11.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.48 (+40.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.11, while resistance sits at $11.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.48 (+40.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.34 -
$11.52
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TRIP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($13.48)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.34 -
$11.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.11
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.88
Wall Street Target
$13.48
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.3%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 6.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.08
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$8.59
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$8.13
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$9.53
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 20.8%)
$63.37
(+560%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$16.91
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 20.8%)
$14.37
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 6.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.42
Bull Case
$11.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.1
Base Case
$9.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$7.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.26
(+17.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRIP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TRIP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRIP price and gamma walls.
