TTEK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTEK - Tetra Tech Inc

SERVICES-ENGINEERING SERVICES
$29.76
-0.02 (-0.07%) ▼
5d: -4.68%
30d: -16.96%
90d: -12.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TTEK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.21
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.04
9.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTEK is currently trading at $29.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.00 to $35.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14461.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTEK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TTEK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.50 (+46.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $31.00 - $35.49
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 46.1% below Wall St target ($43.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $31.00 - $35.49
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.68
Resistance Level $32.37
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.45
Wall Street Target $43.50 (+46.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14461.3%
Profit Margin 7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.5 vs 21.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.78 (-7%)
2-Year Target $25.92 (-13%)
3-Year Target $24.19 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→22) $29.80 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.5%) $53.06 (+78%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 11.5%) $41.34 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 14.8, Growth: 11.5%) $35.14 (+18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.33
Bull Case $42.91 (+37%)
Analyst growth 28.3%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case $39.01 (+25%)
Market implied 28.3%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case $20.67 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 21.5
Stabilization Target: $36.69 (+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +23.2%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian N Carter SELL 9979 shares 2026-02-04

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