TTEK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TTEK - Tetra Tech Inc
$37.66
-0.56 (-1.47%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TTEK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TTEK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.85
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TTEK is currently trading at $37.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.29 to $37.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTEK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.90, while resistance sits at $40.88.
Market Sentiment: TTEK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTEK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.90, while resistance sits at $40.88.
Market Sentiment: TTEK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$34.29 -
$37.15
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.29 -
$37.15
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.90
Resistance Level
$40.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.56
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 22.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.30
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$38.37
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$38.45
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 13.5%)
$55.92
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.5%)
$55.29
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.5%)
$46.99
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$74.35
(+97%)
Analyst growth 82.2%, PE expands to 43.9
Base Case
$67.59
(+80%)
Market implied 82.2%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case
$25.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TTEK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Birkenbeuel
SELL
2390 shares
2025-08-14
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