TWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWIN - Twin Disc, Incorporated
$20.02
-0.03 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
+10.55%
90d:
+35.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TWIN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: TWIN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.89
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWIN is currently trading at $20.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.65 to $19.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $16.26, while resistance sits at $20.92.
Market Sentiment: TWIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $16.26, while resistance sits at $20.92.
Market Sentiment: TWIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.65 -
$19.30
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.2% growth expectation is conservative given 2239% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.65 -
$19.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.26
Resistance Level
$20.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.83
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2239.0%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 12.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.06
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$22.16
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$23.31
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.12
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 84.9%)
$99.87
(+399%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 84.9%)
$67.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 84.9%)
$57.43
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$16.01
(-20%)
Analyst growth -27.4%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$14.55
(-27%)
Market implied -27.4%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$13.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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