UBER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UBER - Uber Technologies, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$80.05
-1.65 (-2.02%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UBER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.60
Based on -14.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.49
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UBER is currently trading at $80.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.93 to $84.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 158.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UBER is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: UBER has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.10 (+34.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $80.93 - $84.99
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($110.10)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $80.93 - $84.99
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $79.74
Resistance Level $85.61
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.93
Wall Street Target $110.10 (+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 158.5%
Profit Margin 33.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.9 vs 23.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $81.45 (0%)
2-Year Target $81.21 (-1%)
3-Year Target $80.97 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→23) $81.55 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.9, Growth: -33.7%) $59.56 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -33.7%) $57.91 (-29%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -33.7%) $49.23 (-40%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.94
Bull Case $161.15 (+101%)
Analyst growth 83.6%, PE expands to 45.2
Base Case $146.50 (+83%)
Market implied 83.6%, PE stable at 41.1
Bear Case $54.25 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 23.1
Stabilization Target: $82.29 (+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.7%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tony West SELL 3125 shares 2025-10-20
Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah BUY 5 shares 2025-10-14
Val T. Hoyle SELL 2025-09-23

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Advanced UBER Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UBER price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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