UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$55.89
-2.98 (-5.06%)
▼
5d:
-8.56%
30d:
-7.89%
90d:
+114.63%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
UCTT is down 5.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $45 2026-06-18 with 212 OI. Call ratio: 87% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UCTT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UCTT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.39
41.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $55.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.00 to $63.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.25 (+45.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.25 (+45.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$55.00 -
$63.75
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.4% below Wall St target ($81.25)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.00 -
$63.75
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.54
Resistance Level
$67.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.22
Wall Street Target
$81.25
(+45.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$45.27
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$40.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$57.51
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 74.4%)
$259.86
(+365%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 74.4%)
$188.63
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 74.4%)
$160.33
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$78.89
(+41.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
David T Ibnale
SELL
23500 shares
2025-12-03
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