UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$43.68
-3.81 (-8.02%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UCTT trades at premium valuation expecting 14.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: UCTT trades at premium valuation expecting 14.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $43.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.80 to $43.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.8) compared to its historical average (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.22, while resistance sits at $48.66. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $38.75. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.22, while resistance sits at $48.66. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $38.75. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$27.80 -
$43.99
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UCTT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 18.4% above Wall St target ($38.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.7% growth with -5.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.80 -
$43.99
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.22
Resistance Level
$48.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.77
Wall Street Target
$38.75
(-18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-7.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.7% premium
PE vs Historical
31.8 vs 21.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.47
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$62.48
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$71.66
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.8, Growth: 41.7%)
$135.14
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 41.7%)
$94.87
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 41.7%)
$80.64
(+70%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced UCTT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UCTT price and gamma walls.
