UHAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UHAL - U-Haul Holding Company
$46.91
0.64 (1.38%)
β²
5d:
+5.32%
30d:
-10.19%
90d:
-7.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: UHAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: UHAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.28
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UHAL is currently trading at $46.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.73 to $50.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 60.1) compared to its historical average (81.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UHAL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.45 (+63.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UHAL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.45 (+63.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$44.73 -
$50.56
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.1% below Wall St target ($75.45)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$44.73 -
$50.56
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Β±$2.10
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.95
Resistance Level
$47.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
60.09
Wall Street Target
$75.45
(+63.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.5%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
60.1 vs 81.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$37.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$34.07
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60β82)
$46.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 60.1, Growth: 129.9%)
$156.16
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 129.9%)
$58.08
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 129.9%)
$49.37
(+7%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 54.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.82
Bull Case
$53.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 57.4
Base Case
$44.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 54.6
Bear Case
$34.16
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 49.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 60.1 to 81.6
Stabilization Target:
$62.83
(+35.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UHAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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