HRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRI - Herc Holdings Inc.
$133.85
-4.35 (-3.15%)
▼
5d:
-1.67%
30d:
+21.48%
90d:
-10.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When HRI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.41
16.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRI is currently trading at $133.85, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.91 to $136.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $124.98, while resistance sits at $143.89. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.90 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $124.98, while resistance sits at $143.89. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.90 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$108.91 -
$136.10
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($168.90)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 32.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.91 -
$136.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.98
Resistance Level
$143.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.71
Wall Street Target
$168.90
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.0%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.65
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$135.46
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$136.27
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$134.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 62.3%)
$728.39
(+444%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 62.3%)
$451.74
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 62.3%)
$383.98
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Rental & Leasing Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Rental & Leasing Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
URI
United Rentals Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$1084 | 60 HOLD |
|
FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$339 | 51 HOLD |
|
AER
AerCap Holdings NV |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$164 | 55 HOLD |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$65 | 64 BUY |
|
PRG
PROG Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$46 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced HRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HRI price and gamma walls.
