UI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UI - Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock
$736.95
-42.97 (-5.51%)
▼
5d:
-8.95%
30d:
-3.92%
90d:
+29.13%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$787.16
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$488.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UI is currently trading at $736.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $744.08 to $799.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 38.9) compared to its historical average (46.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 70.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $721.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $623.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $721.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $623.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$744.08 -
$799.08
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.4% above Wall St target ($623.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$744.08 -
$799.08
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$721.44
Resistance Level
$854.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.90
Wall Street Target
$623.50
(-15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.8%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.9 vs 46.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$694.21
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$653.94
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$616.01
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→47)
$736.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.9, Growth: 17.6%)
$1199.64
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.6%)
$689.23
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.6%)
$585.84
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 52.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.69
Bull Case
$1085.57
(+34%)
Analyst growth 29.0%, PE expands to 57.3
Base Case
$986.88
(+22%)
Market implied 29.0%, PE stable at 52.1
Bear Case
$520.38
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.9 to 46.5
Stabilization Target:
$880.90
(+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is UI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Radigan
SELL
350 shares
2025-11-12
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