UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$62.48
1.59 (2.61%)
▲
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
+12.52%
90d:
+11.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.18
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $62.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.34 to $60.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.34 -
$60.18
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.34 -
$60.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.75
Resistance Level
$58.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.49
Wall Street Target
$66.47
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$61.73
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$61.36
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$62.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.1%)
$90.41
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 7.1%)
$76.77
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 7.1%)
$65.26
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$76.71
(+23%)
Analyst growth 14.5%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case
$69.73
(+12%)
Market implied 14.5%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$41.41
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$63.51
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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