UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$56.24
-1.10 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
-3.7%
30d:
-1.82%
90d:
-24.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.05
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $56.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.93 to $58.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.23 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.23 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$56.93 -
$58.78
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($68.23)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.93 -
$58.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.19
Resistance Level
$60.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.76
Wall Street Target
$68.23
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 19.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.54
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$50.97
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$48.52
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$56.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.0%)
$88.08
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 6.0%)
$66.91
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 6.0%)
$56.87
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.05
Bull Case
$69.38
(+23%)
Analyst growth 10.0%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$63.07
(+12%)
Market implied 10.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$38.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$65.08
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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