URBN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
URBN - Urban Outfitters Inc
$70.72
0.15 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
-2.13%
90d:
+10.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Get Alerted When URBN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: URBN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: URBN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.60
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URBN is currently trading at $70.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.63 to $75.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.50 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.50 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$71.63 -
$75.49
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.63 -
$75.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.86
Resistance Level
$77.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.33
Wall Street Target
$84.50
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.52
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$68.34
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$67.17
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$70.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$162.73
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$92.09
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 9.2%)
$78.28
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.20
Bull Case
$85.65
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$77.87
(+10%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$47.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$74.59
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is URBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Hayne
SELL
10667 shares
2026-02-20
Margaret Hayne
SELL
9333 shares
2026-02-20
Margaret Hayne
SELL
2185 shares
2026-02-19
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$132 | 59 HOLD |
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$178 | 63 BUY |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$256 | 62 BUY |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$225 | 54 HOLD |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$367 | 56 HOLD |
