URI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
URI - United Rentals, Inc.
$782.06
-4.98 (-0.63%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
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3 traders called URI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: URI is down 14.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: URI is down 14.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1506.42
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$935.37
16.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URI is currently trading at $782.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $827.00 to $933.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $757.30, while resistance sits at $961.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $985.00 (+25.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $757.30, while resistance sits at $961.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $985.00 (+25.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$827.00 -
$933.92
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding URI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($985.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$827.00 -
$933.92
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$757.30
Resistance Level
$961.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.63
Wall Street Target
$985.00
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$729.66
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$680.77
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$635.16
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$781.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.9%)
$1810.20
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 14.9%)
$1187.74
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 14.9%)
$1009.58
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $38.57
Bull Case
$1391.71
(+78%)
Analyst growth 40.1%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$1265.19
(+62%)
Market implied 40.1%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$614.17
(-22%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$962.09
(+23.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.0%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is URI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Val T. Hoyle
BUY
2025-08-07
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Advanced URI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's URI price and gamma walls.
