VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$75.35
2.89 (3.99%)
▲
5d:
-2.56%
30d:
-18.74%
90d:
-21.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.29
41.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $75.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.95 to $92.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$77.95 -
$92.74
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($69.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.95 -
$92.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.48
Resistance Level
$95.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.36
Wall Street Target
$69.82
(-7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.6%
Profit Margin
45.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 14.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.81
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$61.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$54.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→15)
$77.95
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 107.7%)
$534.68
(+610%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 107.7%)
$254.31
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 107.7%)
$216.16
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.15
Bull Case
$40.97
(-46%)
Analyst growth -48.6%, PE expands to 5.6
Base Case
$37.25
(-51%)
Market implied -48.6%, PE stable at 5.1
Bear Case
$49.27
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$106.92
(+41.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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