VALN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VALN - Valneva SE American Depositary Shares
$6.04
0.08 (1.34%)
▲
5d:
-1.47%
30d:
-42.45%
90d:
-40.02%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VALN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VALN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.51
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VALN is currently trading at $6.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.30 to $9.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.81, while resistance sits at $6.42.
Market Sentiment: VALN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.88 (+113.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.81, while resistance sits at $6.42.
Market Sentiment: VALN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.88 (+113.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$5.30 -
$9.13
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 113.2% below Wall St target ($12.88)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.30 -
$9.13
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.81
Resistance Level
$6.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.46
Wall Street Target
$12.88
(+113.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Profit Margin
-66.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.03
(0%)
2-Year Target
$6.03
(0%)
3-Year Target
$6.02
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$6.06
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.08
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 21, 2026 9:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VALN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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