VALN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VALN - Valneva SE American Depositary Shares
$5.40
0.04 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
+1.22%
30d:
-9.09%
90d:
-48.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When VALN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VALN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VALN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.33
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.79
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VALN is currently trading at $5.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.43 to $6.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.13, while resistance sits at $6.10.
Market Sentiment: VALN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.20 (+127.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.13, while resistance sits at $6.10.
Market Sentiment: VALN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.20 (+127.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.43 -
$6.08
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 127.8% below Wall St target ($12.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.43 -
$6.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.13
Resistance Level
$6.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.15
Wall Street Target
$12.20
(+127.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Profit Margin
-88.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.97
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$4.61
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$4.28
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$5.32
(-1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$6.66
(+24.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 11:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VALN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Biotechnology Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Biotechnology by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NTLA
Intellia Therapeutics Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$27 | 50 HOLD |
|
ONC
BeiGene, Ltd. |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$412 | 51 HOLD |
|
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$275 | 61 BUY |
|
ACLX
Arcellx Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$113 | 57 HOLD |
|
INCY
Incyte Corporation |
HOLD
27 analysts |
$109 | 59 HOLD |
