VET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$12.88
0.08 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
+5.23%
30d:
+12.2%
90d:
+29.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
VET is down 8.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-06-18 with 3,368 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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1 traders called VET this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 23.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 23.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.21
52.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $12.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.97 to $13.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (32.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $13.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.61 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $13.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.61 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.97 -
$13.31
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.97 -
$13.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.40
Resistance Level
$13.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.22
Wall Street Target
$14.61
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-46.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 32.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→32)
$21.06
(+65%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 119.5%)
$67.04
(+424%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 119.5%)
$43.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 119.5%)
$36.72
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 32.1
Stabilization Target:
$28.89
(+125.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+125.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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