VET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$8.99
-0.09 (-0.99%) ▼
5d: -4.56%
30d: -23.36%
90d: -30.26%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VET trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -25.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.44
66.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $8.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.60 to $11.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (24.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.61 (+62.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $9.60 - $11.60
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 62.5% below Wall St target ($14.61)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.60 - $11.60
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.91
Resistance Level $12.22
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.99
Wall Street Target $14.61 (+62.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.9%
Profit Margin -46.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -25.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.0 vs 24.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -25.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.09 (-10%)
2-Year Target $7.28 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.55 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→24) $15.94 (+77%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 119.5%) $66.16 (+636%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 119.5%) $30.34 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 8.5, Growth: 119.5%) $25.79 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 24.3
Stabilization Target: $21.87 (+143.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +143.3%
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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