VIAV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VIAV - Viavi Solutions Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$31.81
-2.83 (-8.17%) ▼
5d: -5.36%
30d: +7.07%
90d: +74.83%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

VIAV is down 7.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $29 2026-05-15 with 4,408 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIAV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.58
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.68
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VIAV is currently trading at $31.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.66 to $34.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.6) compared to its historical average (28.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.24, while resistance sits at $38.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $28.66 - $34.04
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.2%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.93)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 16.6% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $28.66 - $34.04
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.24
Resistance Level $38.08
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.58
Wall Street Target $30.93 (-2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -73.4%
Profit Margin -3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.4% premium
PE vs Historical 31.6 vs 28.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.89 (+3%)
2-Year Target $34.01 (+7%)
3-Year Target $35.17 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→29) PE COMPRESSION $31.74 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.6, Growth: 20.5%) $55.70 (+75%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.5%) $39.43 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.5%) $33.51 (+5%)
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul Mcnab SELL 3551 shares 2026-03-02
Kevin Christopher Siebert SELL 7264 shares 2026-03-02
Richard Belluzzo SELL 15775 shares 2026-02-18

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Advanced VIAV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIAV price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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