VIAV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIAV - Viavi Solutions Inc. Common Stock
$24.46
-0.24 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
+30.18%
30d:
+35.81%
90d:
+74.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026
0d
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1 traders called VIAV this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VIAV is 17.6% above fair value ($20.80). Market expects -3.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VIAV is 17.6% above fair value ($20.80). Market expects -3.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.77
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.93
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIAV is currently trading at $24.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.23 to $20.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIAV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIAV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$17.23 -
$20.80
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
VIAV is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+17.6% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.07)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 17.6% overvaluation
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.23 -
$20.80
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.07
Resistance Level
$24.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.71
Wall Street Target
$26.07
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.4%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 27.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.58
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$22.73
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$21.91
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→28)
$24.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 18.3%)
$40.52
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.3%)
$36.57
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.3%)
$31.08
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 28.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.86
Bull Case
$29.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$24.46
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$18.71
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$27.32
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIAV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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8387 shares
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIAV price and gamma walls.
