Is VICI stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, VICI is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of VICI stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for VICI to be between $27.75 and $30.17. The current price is $27.27.

What is the analyst price target for VICI?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for VICI is $34.78. This implies a potential upside of 30.7% from current levels.

VICI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

$27.27

0.66 (2.48%) ▲

5d: +0.81%

30d: -9.73%

90d: -3.06%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your VICI Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 29d

Smart Money Accumulation

VICI is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 8,337 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 2.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$34.15

Based on 3.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$21.21

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $27.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.75 to $30.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VICI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.78 (+30.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $27.75 - $30.17

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($34.78)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $27.75 - $30.17

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.76

Resistance Level $29.03

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.10

Wall Street Target $34.78 (+30.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.4%

Profit Margin 69.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 10.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $25.81 (-3%)

2-Year Target $25.04 (-6%)

3-Year Target $24.29 (-9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $26.70 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.3%) $70.09 (+163%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 2.3%) $28.47 (+7%)

Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 2.3%) $24.20 (-9%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 10.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.61

Bull Case $33.07 (+22%)

Analyst growth 12.1%, PE expands to 11.3

Base Case $30.07 (+11%)

Market implied 12.1%, PE stable at 10.3

Bear Case $18.24 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.0

Stabilization Target: $29.25 (+9.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +9.9%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:37 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-24

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-01-09

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