VICI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock
$28.08
-0.03 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-1.61%
30d:
-0.92%
90d:
-5.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
22d
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1 traders called VICI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.65
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $28.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.81 to $28.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VICI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.39 (+26.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VICI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.39 (+26.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$27.81 -
$28.48
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VICI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($35.39)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.81 -
$28.48
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.58
Resistance Level
$29.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.84
Wall Street Target
$35.39
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Profit Margin
70.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.00
(0%)
2-Year Target
$27.91
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$27.83
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$28.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.1%)
$69.71
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$30.75
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 3.1%)
$26.13
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.63
Bull Case
$33.30
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$30.28
(+8%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$18.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$28.26
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VICI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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