VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$10.28
-0.20 (-1.86%)
▼
5d:
-5.69%
30d:
-7.3%
90d:
-15.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VINP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VINP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.79
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.15
27.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $10.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.58 to $11.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.7) compared to its historical average (2.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.28 (+36.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.28 (+36.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.58 -
$11.14
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($14.28)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.58 -
$11.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.12
Resistance Level
$11.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.69
Wall Street Target
$14.28
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.3%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.7 vs 2.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.69
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$8.96
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$8.29
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$10.30
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 20.0%)
$236.28
(+2156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.7, Growth: 20.0%)
$18.12
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.4, Growth: 20.0%)
$15.40
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$23.12
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$21.02
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$7.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.7 to 2.1
Stabilization Target:
$13.01
(+24.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-23
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11521 shares
2026-04-22
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