VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$9.91
0.07 (0.71%)
▲
5d:
+3.12%
30d:
-1.98%
90d:
-6.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.4% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.4% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.93
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.23
30.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $9.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.64 to $10.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (2.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.47, while resistance sits at $10.24.
Market Sentiment: VINP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.81 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.47, while resistance sits at $10.24.
Market Sentiment: VINP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.81 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.64 -
$10.04
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($13.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.64 -
$10.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.47
Resistance Level
$10.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.60
Wall Street Target
$13.81
(+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.3%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 2.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.18
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$8.50
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$7.87
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$9.81
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.7%)
$248.62
(+2409%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: 22.7%)
$18.31
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.4, Growth: 22.7%)
$15.56
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$21.65
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$19.68
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$6.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 2.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.36
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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